Monday, September 30, 2019

Why you should root for each driver still remaining in the NASCAR Playoffs

The NASCAR playoffs are the most intense playoffs in all of sports. There, I said it. It is the only sport where playoff participants still have to compete against non-playoff participants come crunch time. Just because you are not in the playoffs does not mean you do not race. It creates a whole new level of concern for the playoff drivers and another level of excitement for the fans.

I could go on and on about some other things that make the NASCAR playoffs the most exciting, the pressure that continues to build, the variety of different tracks on the playoff schedule, the awesome format that emphasizes winning, but also emphasizes taking chances. It's great. Anybody who does not like this system is a grump.

Yesterday, the field of playoff drivers was whittled from 16 down to 12. The next three races at Dover, Talladega and Kansas will separate the men from the boys and determine the "elite" eight.

The 12 drivers; Martin Truex. Jr, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Chase Elliott, William Byron, Alex Bowman, Ryan Blaney, Clint Bowyer, Denny Hamlin and Kyle Larson are all unique in their own ways. This field of 12 consists of many different backgrounds, personalities, racing styles and fan reactions.

The majority of NASCAR fans already know who they're rooting for to claim the gold at Homestead. But, if you are still undecided, I have you covered.

Ryan Blaney 
Blaney has quietly become one of the most popular drivers in NASCAR. His approachable personality and willingness to promote the sport by doing virtually and PR event presented to him has led to that. But, don't underestimate his abilities to wheel a car either. Blaney is the only Penske driver to not have a win this season, but it's not for lack of good showings. Blaney has had a consistent top 10 car, but just hasn't caught the right breaks at the right time. He's out Ryan Newman'd Ryan Newman this season and has found his way into the Round of 12. Can he find a way to finally get a win is the big question.

Alex Bowman 
Everyone loves Matt DiBenedetto and his rise to a top-ride. Well, Alex Bowman did it first. The Tucson, Arizona native began his career with middle-of-the-pack in 2013 with RAB Racing in the Xfinity Series. Bowman then toiled with backmarker Cup teams, BK Racing and Tommy Baldwin Racing before being fired after 2015. Bowman's big break came in 2016 when he was tabbed to replace an injured Dale Earnhardt. Jr in the 88 car. Bowman showed enough during his stint at Hendrick Motorsports to earn the ride full-time when Dale. Jr retired after 2017. Bowman has broke through in 2019, with four runner-up finishes and one win. His championship would be a remarkable rise given that you would not have pegged him as a championship contender four years ago. 

Clint Bowyer 
There are lots of reasons to root for Clint Bowyer. The Kansan is a fun-loving, energetic personality that is throwback to some of the personalities that originally made this sport so awesome. The vision of Bowyer celebrating a championship is all you need to root for him. But there's other reasons, too. Bowyer has had a solid career, but nothing spectacular. His 10 career wins have come at races that you tend to forget about (New Hampshire, Michigan, the fall Charlotte race) and he had a five-year drought. But Bowyer has shown spurts of contending for a championship throughout his career (2007, 2012, 2017). You could even make a point that he would already have a championship if Jeff Gordon did not intentionally wreck him at Phoenix. Bowyer's future for 2020 remains in peril, so a championship run should guarantee that his awesome personality stays in NASCAR for the years to come.

Kyle Busch 
This is undoubtedly the toughest driver to lobby for. Kyle Busch is the most polarizing driver in NASCAR, and perhaps the most polarizing athlete (they are athletes) in professional sports. Fans of Busch will root for him and people that aren't fans of him will root against him and there's very few people, other than myself, that are neutral on Busch. While many people might dislike him, nobody can devalue his raw talent and ability to wheel a race-car. However championships Busch finishes his career with will not be as many as it should have been. He currently has just one championship (2015) and that one has an asterisk by it because he missed the first 11 races of the season with a broken leg. If Busch were to claim a second title, it would detract the haters from the stupid narrative that he didn't earn his first championship. 

William Byron
William Byron was just six years when NASCAR developed "The Chase" in 2004. He is also the only driver in the playoff field that is younger than me. That's a first. Byron has been touted for the past few years as the next big thing. He should have won a Truck title in 2016 and did win an Xfinity Title in 2017 before moving up to the legendary 24 car. Byron struggled last season but shown signs of improvement this season. He's shown short-run speed and has qualified well, winning five poles. I don't think he's too far away from his first career win. Byron would also become the youngest champion in NASCAR history at just 21 years old. A championship for Byron would also mean an eighth championship for his crew chief, Chad Knaus, which would undoubtedly cement Knaus as the greatest crew-chief of all-time, if there was any debate to begin with. Which there shouldn't be.

Chase Elliott 

This is the easiest driver to make a case for. Elliott has been the most popular driver in NASCAR since Dale Jr retired. It took Elliott a long time to pick up his first career win, but they've piling up since he finally got the first win at Watkins Glen in 2018. Elliott could be the favorite in this upcoming round because three of his six wins in the past two years have come at Dover, Talladega and Kansas. The three tracks in the Round of 12. A championship for Elliott would mean that the two dominant teams this season, Joe Gibbs Racing and Penske Racing, did not win it. Elliott's title would match his father, Bill's 1988 championship and would make the Elliotts the third set of father-son to claim titles. Wouldn't that be cool?

Denny Hamlin
Many people, like myself, wrote Denny Hamlin off after a winless 2018 campaign. He has proved the doubters wrong in 2019 with four wins, including the Daytona 500, his second victory in the Great American Race. If Hamlin's career ended today he would go down as one of the greatest drivers to never win a title. His 35 career wins is the second most among drivers without a championship. Hamlin has won essentially everything else there is to win except a championship. His candidacy for the NASCAR Hall of Fame is ignorantly debated by many. His statistics show that he should be a first ballot inductee, but not all see it that way. A championship for Hamlin should quiet the stupid argument of whether or not he's hall of fame worthy and cement his spot in Charlotte. 

Kevin Harvick already has won championship under his belt thanks to a magnificent run in 2014, the first year of the playoffs. Moving to Stewart-Haas Racing saved Harvick's career. His stint at RCR showed promise, but also lacked consistency. Harvick has been the most consistent driver over the course of the past five seasons. Harvick won eight races in 2018 and was the championship favorite coming into 2019. He struggled to find victory lane early, but has found some stride and has won three races this season. Harvick is a lock for the Hall of Fame, but many guys have won just one title (18 to be exact). A second title for Harvick would elevate him to a driver that should be regarded as one of the all-time greats. He's top 10-15 in my book. 

Brad Keselowski 
Like his rival, Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski is a polarizing NASCAR driver. Many people don't like him, but he's honestly one of my favorites. If you listen to Keselowski talk, he is actually an incredibly articulate and intellectual human-being. But on the track, he has a no-damn's given attitude and will do whatever it takes to win regardless of who he upsets in the process. Kyle Busch might be the closest thing to Dale Earnhardt in terms of talent, but Keselowski, in my opinion, more resembles Dale Sr's attitude and you have to appreciate that. Keselowski is also a former champion, but I feel like his 2012 championship is the most forgotten about title in the history of the playoffs. It was nothing flashy or dominant, just consistent. Keselowski's 2019 title would not be that. He dominated the early part of the season, but struggled from June until the playoffs began. He's since shown strong performances in the three playoff races and is putting himself in line for a clutch-like run through the playoffs.

Joey Logano
"Sliced Bread" Joey Logano is another polarizing driver that I enjoy. Last year, Logano showed the world why the NASCAR Playoffs are so intense. He also showed them that he was willing to do whatever it takes. Which meant bumping Martin Truex. Jr out of the way in the final lap at Martinsville to win the race and secure his spot in the championship race at Homestead. Many people ignorantly didn't like Logano's tactics, but you cannot argue that it ultimately won him the championship. Logano shined in the early stage of 2019, but has struggled to stay consistent in the latter half of the season. However, Logano's 2019 season to this point extremely resembles his 2018 season, so you can't count him out. Plus, he's shown that he'll do whatever it takes to win and you have to appreciate that. A second title for Logano would also make him the first repeat champion since the inception of the knockout-style playoffs and would make him the first to repeat since Jimmie Johnson won five straight from 2006-2010. 

Kyle Larson 
Kyle Larson is sadly trending towards becoming one of the biggest busts in NASCAR history. Expectations were high for Larson when he made his cup debut in 2014. Larson does have five career wins, but he has not won in two seasons. We keep waiting for Larson to break through and show the world the raw talent that he has. Larson is extremely entertaining to watch, but unfortunately, he keeps getting derailed by untimely wrecks and costly pit road miscues. A championship for Larson would mean that he finally broke through and met the expectations that were put upon him when he made his cup debut. 
Martin Truex. Jr
Martin Truex Jr's 2017 championship campaign was one of the most unlikely championships in recent memory. If somebody would have said in 2009 that Truex was a future Cup champion, they might have been institutionalized. Truex has been the most dominant driver in NASCAR the past four seasons. Which is impressive when you consider that he spent the majority of it with underfunded Furniture Row Racing before they closed doors and he moved to Joe Gibbs Racing this season. Truex also has a reputation for racing guys clean, in a Mark Martin-like way. He is well-liked by the majority of his peers and is a driver that many fans have grown to like because of his unlikely rise from journeyman to championship contender.

These next seven races should be a ton of fun, who will you be rooting for? 




Thursday, September 5, 2019

NFL Preview: 5 bold predictions, my hopefully wrong playoff prediction and my picks for league awards.







(Photo Courtesy of NFL.com)

The 2019 NFL season is finally here. Well, not yet, but it will be in just a matter of hours. With the start of the football season comes the a boatload of predictions. So I figure I should get in the spirit. Let's begin with five bold predictions that I'm confident in for the 2019 NFL Season

1. Ezekiel Elliott will rush for 2,000 yards: The man just got paid and he's going to want to show that he's worth of every penny. Elliott has ran for 1,434 and 1,631 yards in his two full seasons. He also ran for 983 in a 2017 season that was shortened six games due to a suspension. He was on pace to rush for 1,572 yards if he played 16 games. Elliott will have the advantage of running behind a hopefully healthy behemoth offensive line and is primed to have a career year.

2. Patrick Mahomes will not lead the league in passing touchdowns or yards: Now before my fellow Chiefs fans get mad at me, this does not mean doom for Chiefs Kingdom. Mahomes was historic last season with 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns. But some of his numbers were bloated because of an atrocious defense. The Chiefs defense figures to be better this year (it can't be worse), which means Mahomes won't have to rely on scoring as many points. The Chiefs also have a solid trio of running backs with Damien Williams, LeSean McCoy and Darwin Thompson to lean on. Mahomes can still be great and not put up the numbers he did last year. Both are possible, Chiefs fans.

3. The Rams suffer a Super Bowl hangover: The Super Bowl hangover is real. Just ask the 2016 Panthers, who were coming off a 15-1 2015 season, but struggled in 2016. I think the Rams, who might have played the Super Bowl drunk given their performance, will suffer the same fate. Todd Gurley and Aaron Donald will be their usual dominant selves if they can stay healthy, but I don't trust Jared Goff, who stunk it up in the Super Bowl. I don't think the Rams setbacks will be massive, they have a talented team, but they are coming off an embarrassing Super Bowl defeat and will stumble early with tough matchups against Carolina, New Orleans, Cleveland and Seattle. I have the Rams going 10-6 and narrowly missing the playoffs.

4. The Bengals unintentionally Tank for Tua/Justin Herbert: Man, I think there's going to be some really bad teams this year. I have five teams; the Raiders, Bengals, Dolphins, Giants and Cardinals, winning three games or less. The Bengals are probably the least likely of those five, but it's not like they lit it up the past few years under Marvin Lewis. Zac Taylor is now in charge and this team could see a complete rebuild. Andy Dalton continues to regress and their best player, AJ Green will start the year injured and it's unknown when or if he will play this season. All these elements toppled together will put the Bengals in prime position to replace Dalton with the franchise QB of their choice. Likely either Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa or Oregon's Justin Herbert.

5. Kirk Cousins will have an MVP-worthy season: Don't ask why, but I have a feeling that Cousins is going to have a career year. Cousins received a lot of undeserved flak for his performance last season. Cousins threw for 4,298 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 picks last season. He set a career high for touchdowns and a career low for interceptions. Cousins put up better stats than Case Keenum did but won five less games than Keenum. Part of that should be attributed to a regression from the Vikings' defense, an offensive line that struggled to stay healthy. Cousins' has, in my opinion, the best receiving duo in the league with Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, so the sky is the limit. I expect a big year for Cousins this season

Now, onto some awards

MVP: Ezekiel Elliott: I said Cousins will have an MVP-worthy season, not that he will be MVP. I also boldly predicted that Elliott would rush for 2,000 yards. He's the MVP if he does that, or at least he should be.I am going to save some space and also project Elliott to be the Offensive Player of the Year.

Defensive Player of the Year: Aaron Donald, Rams: The Rams will suffer a hangover, but Donald will not. He is the best player in the league and a generational talent, who I believe will win this honor for the third consecutive season.

Offensive Rookie of the Year: David Montgomery, Bears: The favorite will be Kyler Murray, but I think he'll suffer some growing pains while putting up serviceable numbers in his rookie campaign. I am super high on David Montgomery this season and I expect big things from the former Iowa State standout. The Bears traded Jordan Howard to Philadelphia this offseason and that will allow Montgomery to be the bell-cow alongside Tarik Cohen.

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Devin Bush. Steelers: Bush could end up being the steal of the draft. The Steelers will look to use Bush in a similar role to how they used Ryan Shazier, who was also pretty good. However, I think Bush has the potential to be better and he will show so this season

Now, the playoff predictions.

AFC Playoff Teams: Chiefs, Browns, Patriots, Texans, Steelers and Chargers.
AFC Championship Game: Patriots over Steelers

Honestly, I would have selected the Colts to win the AFC had Andrew Luck not retired, but he did. The Chiefs are the favorite to win the AFC, but I just cannot draw myself to pick them, so I won't. My predictions are usually wrong anyway. The Patriots will bore us with another trip to the AFC Championship Game, and ultimately the Super Bowl for what will seem like the 307th time.. Meanwhile, the Steelers will rely on James Conner and a top ten defense to make the conference title game despite a regressing, but still talented Ben Roethlisberger.

NFC Playoff Teams: Vikings, Seahawks, Eagles, Saints, Cowboys and Packers 
NFC Championship Game: Saints over Eagles 

Anyone of tHese six teams, along with the Bears or the Rams are smart picks to win the NFC, but I'm marching with the Saints. Alvin Kamara will be one of the best running backs in the league and Drew Brees will cement his legacy. I'm rolling with the Eagles to join them in the NFC Championship Game with a healthy Carson Wentz and one of the league's best defense, but in the end, give me the Saints to avenge last year's crushing conference title loss to the Rams.

Super Bowl LIV: Saints over Patriots

Drew Brees wins his second career Super Bowl nearly 10 years after and in the same stadium he won the first one in and retires a champion in the NFL's centennial season. Wouldn't that be neat? Other than the Patriots playing in another Super Bowl.