Monday, November 26, 2018

10 biggest questions I have this wrestling season.

Wrestling season is just around the corner and I cannot wait for it. The season will officially start for me in 11 days with the Council Bluffs Classic. I've covered pretty much every high school sport, but wrestling is probably my favorite. Maybe it's because I got my start in broadcasting by calling John J. or maybe it's the atmosphere of a meet. I don't know. 

We are just days away from the journey to Des Moines beginning. I have many questions about the area wrestling that will take place this season, so here are my 10 most pertinent questions (at least to me) about this upcoming season.

1. Is this the year Red Oak qualifies for state duals? 
Words cannot describe how much I admire the job Red Oak Coach Tiegen Podliska has done with his squad. The Tigers had zero state qualifiers in 2016. In 2017, they qualified for a regional dual despite having just one state qualifier. The Tigers broke through in 2018, qualifying for another regional dual, qualifying five to Des Moines and placing two (Justin McCunn and Thomas Bentley). Those five state qualifiers? They all return. I'm not sure there are many (if any) teams in the state that return as many state qualifiers as Red Oak does this year. 

This year they will be led by Thomas Bentley, who has placed fourth and third the past two seasons. It's unclear whether Bentley will wrestle at 182 or 195, but either way, I think he's a championship contender. We should also keep an eye on Justin McCunn and Carter Maynes this season. Last year, McCunn placed eighth at 152 pounds as a sophomore while Maynes was just one win away from joining his teammates on the medal stands. I also expect Colton Kinnison and Jonathan Erp, Red Oak's other two state qualifiers, to pick up where they left off, and I would not be surprised to see someone else breakthrough for Red Oak.

I think I've answered my own question. This is the year Red Oak qualifies for state duals. You can book it.

2. Will anyone be able to take down Gabe Pauley?
AHSTW's Gabe Pauley was a force last year. The bruiser took down everyone in his way on his path to a state championship at 1A-170. Pauley finished his state championship season with a record of 56-0. The most impressive part of his championship campaign is the fact that Pauley did not surrender a takedown until the final period of his state championship victory over Lisbon's Bryce Werderman. Will somebody take down Pauley this season? You would think maybe, but that's a task that it is obviously much easier said than done. Just ask anyone who tried to do it last season.

3. How will Underwood look without Alex Thomsen?
I had the privilege of watching Underwood's Alex Thomsen for the last three season. It was a treat to say the least. The Underwood lightweight capped off his prep career with just one loss and four state championships. Thomsen is now at the University of Nebraska, but the cupboard definitely is not bare at Underwood. Alex's younger brother, Blake comes into his junior year with a pair of state medals including third place at 120 pounds last season. It is unclear what weight he will wrestle at for sure, but he begins the season ranked third at 138 pounds by IAWrestle.  

I have a feeling that fellow lightweight Logan James will come into this season with something to prove. Last year James took home seventh at 132 pounds, but I got the vibe that he was not satisfied with that finish. Nobody can truly replace Alex Thomsen, but I think James has the potential to pretty much pick up right where Thomsen left off. 

Throw Michael Baker into the mix, who qualified at 152 pounds to go along with a pair of district qualifiers (Kyler Rodenburg and Tanner Owens) and I think Underwood will be just fine. 

4. Which Atlantic/CAM wrestler(s) will break through?
I have the feeling that many people are expecting a down year from Atlantic this year. While they have lost some stalwarts like John McConkey, Kole Hansen and Carter Cox over the past few years, I don't think this will be a down year by any means. Actually, I think this could be a year we see a handful of Atlantic wrestlers break through. The Trojans will most likely be led Chase McLaren at 138 pounds, the Grand View commit finished seventh at 132 last season but he has his sights set on bigger goals this season. 

Connor Pellet was a pleasant surprise for Coach Tim Duff's Trojans, earning his way to Des Moines and winning a match before coming up shy of earning a medal. Atlantic will be pretty set in the lightweights this season with Joe Weaver, who wrestled at 106 last season and Aybren Moore at 113. I'm not sure whether those guys will bump up, but I have feeling that those two will pick up where they left off and potentially wind up in Des Moines with a few of their teammates.

5. How much will the area lightweights entertain us?
There were some really good lightweights in our area last year, particularly at 106 and 113 pounds. Kuemper Catholic's Benjamin Schmitz finished third in Class 2A at 106, Mount Ayr's Bryce Shaha got on the medal stand as a freshman at 1A-106 and Tri-Center's Connor Atkisson qualified for state, but came up short of returning to the medal stand. Lewis Central freshman Tanner Wink won a match at the state tournament before bowing out and is just a sophomore this season. You also can't forget about Riverside's John Schroeder, who qualified for districts last season and is ranked eighth at 106 by IAWrestle in their preseason rankings or the aforementioned Joe Weaver from Atlantic/CAM

At 113 pounds, the show was stolen by Logan-Magnolia's Briar Reisz. I don't know that anyone expected Reisz to have the state tournament he did, but he took the state by storm, advancing all the way to the state final before dropping to West Sioux's Adam Allard. Mount Ayr's Trae Ehlen qualified for the state tournament in his freshman campaign and comes into the 2018-19 season ranked eighth at 120 pounds coming into this season. I mentioned Moore earlier and he deserves to be mentioned again. Creston/OM's Kaden Bolton was a state qualifier last year at 120 and is back this year as a sophomore. Lewis Central's Taber Dominguez won the Hawkeye Ten tournament at 113 last year, but he's listed at 126 this season and Missouri Valley's Sam Kyle has received some preseason love, coming into this season ranked 10th at 113 in Class 1A. 

I think it's safe to say the 106-126 range is going to be a ton of fun to watch this year. Given the proximity some of these wrestlers are to each other, I think we are in store for some really good matches and I am going to make three bold predictions', 1) Mount Ayr's Bryce Shaha and Trae Ehlen will both reach the medal stand this season, 2) Briar Reisz will prove that his tournament performance last season was no fluke, 3) Benjamin Schmitz will improve on his third place finish. 


6. Which team's performance will surprise us the most?
As I mentioned earlier, Red Oak has surprised people the past few years, but this year it will only be a surprise if they don't have success and I don't see that happening. So which team will surprise me like Red Oak has the past few years? 

I think the most likely candidate is AHSTW. The Vikings are led by the aforementioned state champion Gabe Pauley, but he was not the only state qualifier for the Vikings last season. The Vikings qualified six for state last season and they return five of them. Not to mention the fact they had a total of 10 district qualifiers. This could be a huge year for Coach Evan McCarthy’s team.

I think you also have to throw Mount Ayr into the mix. The Raiders will be led at the lightweights by Shaha and Ehlen, but they return another state qualifier in Josh Cox at 285, who is ranked fourth by IAWrestle to begin the season. 

        7. Which team will win the John J. Harris Invitational this season? 
The John. J. Harris Invitational in Corning on January 18th & 19th is a tournament that is near and dear to my heart. It's also in my opinion, the most entertaining tournament I cover outside of the CB Classic and obviously the state tournament. An excess of 20 teams take to Corning for this tournament and put on a two-day show that is well worth the price of admission. Creston took home team titles from 2014 to 2016, a stacked New Hampton squad took the crown in 2017, but 2018 belonged to Missouri Valley. This year, the title is completely up for grabs.

Missouri Valley returns some key pieces from last season but they lost their heavy hitters in Nathan Haynes and Tom Rief, but I still expect the Big Red to contend for the team title. As I mentioned earlier, Mount Ayr could surprise some people this year, I would not be surprised to see them compete well, same with Tri-Center and Creston/OM.

However, I think the favorite this year will be Red Oak. I don't think it's crazy to say the Tigers could have five wrestlers competing in the finals, which goes a long ways in a small school tournament like John J.

8. Which non-state qualifiers from last year will wrestle with a vengeance this year?
I always try to pay attention to which wrestlers don't make the state tournament, but have a good shot of getting there the next year. There are a handful of area wrestlers that came up just shy of wrestling in Des Moines that I think are going to be really hungry to get there this season.

Shenandoah heavyweight Tyler Courtier spent most the season ranked at 220 pounds, but finished third in his district to narrowly miss qualifying for state, Courtier comes into his junior campaign ranked sixth at 220 by IAWrestle and will have some extra motivation after coming up short last year.

Fellow heavyweight Thomas Wilson (Southwest Iowa) also qualified for districts, but fell short. This year, the 285-pounder begins the season ranked fifth in Class 2A at 285 pounds. Wilson has been a force on the offensive line in football the past few years. Can he be the same force on the mat this season?

Missouri Valley's Nick Haynes medaled his freshman season, but finished fourth in his district last season and did not qualify for the state tournament. I don't know for sure, but I'm guessing that had to be a disappointment to him and will most certainly be his motivation this season. I have a feeling that he will pick up where his brother Nathan left off last season and will finish his season in Des Moines.

9. Which team will win the Hawkeye Ten Tournament? 
The Hawkeye Ten tournament has seen a different champion each of the past three seasons, Creston/OM in 2016, Atlantic in 2017 and Glenwood in 2018. I think there's a really good chance that this year's tournament champion is the fourth different team in as many years. As I've mentioned, I think you have to consider Red Oak as one of the favorites given how much they return from last year, but you cannot sleep on Lewis Central either because the Titans always seem to find a way to perform well at Hawkeye Ten. However, recent champions Creston/OM, Atlantic/CAM and Glenwood cannot be counted out either. Creston was pretty young last year and still showed many signs of promise, Atlantic will reload and Glenwood will do the same after losing a very talented senior class. This tournament will be buckets of fun when these teams take to Shenandoah on January 26th. 

10. What will a seeded state tournament look like?
The 2019 Iowa High School State Wrestling Tournament will be the first under a "seeded" format. The top four wrestlers determined by criteria set by the state will be seeded and put on opposite sides of the brackets to avoid matches occurring prior to the semifinals. The reaction to this announcement was met with mixed reaction. On one hand, you have to win your matches to win a state title regardless of when and where they happen, but I don't know that it's a great idea to have your brackets randomly created and run into the scenario where the top ranked wrestlers are competing in the second round. That problem occurred on multiple occasions last year and I'm sure it's done so many times over the past, it was not the end of the world, but it did raise the question.

This year we should not have to worry about that. Which brings me to my question. State wrestling provides tons of great matches, will seeding the top four in a bracket really make the state tournament that much better or any worse?


Only time will tell. Why don't we just begin the season? 


No comments:

Post a Comment